Almería U19 B vs CD Oriente Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+204%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
10º
6º
18
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
7 - 0
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDA
42%
21%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 2
UDM
58%
22%
20%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 3
UDA
16%
17%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Oriente Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 0
CDO
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDO
0 - 1
CDT
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
CDO
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CDV
4 - 0
CDO
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CDO
0 - 1
ELE
14%
17%
69%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |