UCV vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
1º
21
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 0
UCV
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 3
APC
20%
22%
58%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 0
DEP
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
UCV
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
3 - 2
MET
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
MET
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 3
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
3 - 2
MET
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |