UCV vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
14º
13º
39
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
UCV
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UCV
2 - 3
APC
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
UCV
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UCV
2 - 0
MIN
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
UCV
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 1
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 0
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
CFC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |