UCV vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
11º
8º
3
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
1º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 20 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 19 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 19 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 19 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 17 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 16 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 16 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 15 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
14º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
47.5% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
DEP
2 - 2
UCV
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 1
AAF
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
PER
2 - 1
UCV
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
APC
3 - 3
UCV
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 3
CFC
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
MON
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ZAM
2 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 2
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
MET
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
ZAM
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |