Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 4-5
UCV vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 1
UCV
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
APC
1 - 0
UCV
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
UCV
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 1
YAR
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 0
ARR
66%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
LAR
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
ZUL
29%
23%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
UCV
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
ESC
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |