Venezuelan Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
UCV vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
UCV
2 - 2
VEN
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
UCV
2 - 2
APC
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
YAR
2 - 0
UCV
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
UCV
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
UCV
0 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
LLA
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 2
DEP
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
CFC
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |