UCV vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 0
UCV
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
DRZ
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
UCV
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UCV
3 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
UCV
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 1
MET
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
CFC
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
MON
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 0
CFC
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
APC
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |