UCV vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
60.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 1
UCV
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
MET
3 - 2
UCV
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
UCV
2 - 0
LAL
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
UCV
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
UCV
0 - 2
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 4
CFC
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 0
MIN
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MET
1 - 3
CFC
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
LAL
1 - 0
CFC
17%
26%
58%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |