UCV vs Angostura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
DEP
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 0
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
DNE
1 - 2
UCV
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
AAF
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
DNE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANG
18%
20%
62%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
AIF
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 0
ANG
22%
21%
57%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
AIF
0 - 1
ANG
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |