UCV vs Angostura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 1
UCV
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UCV
0 - 1
YAR
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
UCV
0 - 2
MIR
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
UCV
2 - 2
ESC
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 0
UCV
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ANG
0 - 1
FLD
24%
28%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AIF
0 - 0
ANG
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 1
ANG
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ANG
2 - 3
AIF
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MIN
0 - 6
ANG
84%
13%
4%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +3 |