Copa Peru Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 5-1
UCV Moquegua vs Miguel Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DTA
1 - 2
UCV
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
1 - 1
DTA
26%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
6 - 0
STI
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 0
GRA
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
1 - 0
GRA
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
DCE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 5
GRA
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |