Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
2 - 0
LVA
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
4 - 0
KGZ
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 24 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 0
MDA
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 0
LTU
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |