UCR vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
LDA
5 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
LFC
31%
27%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
CSC
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSH
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LDA
2 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ADC
2 - 4
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |