UCR vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSU
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
LDA
1 - 3
UNI
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
CSC
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SAP
5 - 0
MUN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 2
CSC
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
CSH
3 - 0
MUN
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
5 - 0
ADC
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |