UCR vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 2
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 2
PER
35%
27%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ADC
3 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAP
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAP
2 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
CSC
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |