UCR vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
LDA
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
CSH
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ADC
0 - 0
CSH
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
ADC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 3
LDA
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
ADC
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 0
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |