UCR vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSU
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSC
24%
27%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
4 - 0
ADC
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 2
PER
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
CSH
3 - 1
ADC
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
ADC
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |