UCR vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
LDA
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
CSC
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LFC
2 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
CSH
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CSC
1 - 2
ADC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ADC
0 - 1
CSH
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
ADC
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ADC
2 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CSU
0 - 0
ADC
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |