UCF vs Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 3
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 3
UCF
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 1
TMP
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 4
PIP
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
4 - 0
SFB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
10%
16%
75%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 5
TUL
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TUL
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |