UCF vs Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 1
SMU
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 3
UCF
9%
15%
76%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
SMU
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 0
TMP
67%
17%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 1
TMP
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TMP
4 - 1
TUL
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -3 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |