UCF vs Memphis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 3
TUL
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
UCF
12%
17%
71%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TMP
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
UCF
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
UCF
1 - 2
SMU
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 5
SMU
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
MPH
2 - 1
TMP
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
MPH
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |