La Cañada Atlético Sub 19 B vs La Mosca Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
14º
13º
32
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Cañada Atlético Sub 19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 1
UCD
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 2
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 0
UCD
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 1
UDA
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CD2
3 - 0
UCD
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 1
ATA
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AME
0 - 5
LAM
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 2
LAS
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
LAM
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 1
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |