UCD Burladés U19 vs Valle de Aranguren Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
11º
8º
30
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 74 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 66 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 54 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 53 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 13 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCD Burladés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OSA
3 - 0
UCD
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
CFG
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 3
UCD
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
BEO
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
UCD
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valle de Aranguren Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VDA
1 - 1
CDT
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 3
VDA
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VDA
1 - 3
UDM
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ADS
0 - 1
VDA
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VDA
0 - 4
CDO
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |