UCAM Murcia U19 vs Villarreal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
13º
6º
40
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 70 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 62 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 44 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 10% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
7% | 86.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
22% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 0
ACA
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 2
ALZ
64%
20%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
UCA
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 2
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 6
VIL
10%
16%
75%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 1
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
KEL
91%
7%
3%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |