UCAM Murcia U19 vs Hércules U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
15º
15º
6
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 1% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
57% | 40.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 0
UCA
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 3
ALB
34%
25%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
UCA
51%
24%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UCA
6 - 0
EFB
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
MUR
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
PAT
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 1
HER
41%
25%
33%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
TOR
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |