UCAM Murcia U19 vs Elche U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
13º
6º
38
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 70 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 62 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 44 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
7% | 84% |
|
Possible next round
|
22% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 4
UCA
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 0
ACA
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 2
ALZ
64%
20%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Elche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 1
VAL
50%
23%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 2
ELC
13%
20%
67%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
ELC
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 0
KEL
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |