UCAM Murcia Sub 19 vs Atlético Madrileño Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
13º
9º
61
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
1% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
UCA
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 2
LEV
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 3
UCA
35%
25%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 0
PAT
57%
22%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
UCA
48%
23%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Madrileño Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 0
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALZ
2 - 3
ATL
11%
18%
71%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
KEL
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
0 - 0
ATL
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
EFB
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |