UCAM Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 1
UCA
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
CCF
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UCA
70%
21%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 0
ELC
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
UCA
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MLL
0 - 0
OVI
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
ALM
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 0
OVI
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PON
0 - 1
OVI
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 0
VAD
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |