UCAM Murcia vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 2
GRA
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
UCA
2 - 0
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 0
LAU
77%
15%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MUL
1 - 5
UCA
6%
18%
76%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATB
0 - 0
UCA
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CAD
2 - 0
PAL
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UDT
0 - 1
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SUB
1 - 3
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
SUB
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |