UCAM Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDE
3 - 0
UCA
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
REC
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ECI
1 - 1
UCA
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 1
BAL
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
UCA
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDE
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
MEL
34%
30%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 1
ECI
55%
27%
19%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 2
MEL
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |