UCAM Murcia vs FC Cartagena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
17º
8º
23
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
UCA
15%
23%
63%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
UCA
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
UCA
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UCA
4 - 0
CIE
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
SRQ
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIN
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |