UCAM Murcia vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAD
0 - 1
UCA
67%
23%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
ELC
24%
29%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
UCA
4 - 3
OVI
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 1
UCA
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
CCF
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
CDT
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 3
ALM
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
RAY
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
RAY
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
ALM
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |