UC La Estrella vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CPG
2 - 1
UCL
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CPO
4 - 0
UCL
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
UCL
1 - 1
GEV
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UCL
3 - 1
UDF
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
UCL
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPR
0 - 3
VIL
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 3
EXT
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
USA
77%
14%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
CPG
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |