UC La Estrella vs CD Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
UCL
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SEG
2 - 3
UCL
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UCL
2 - 0
SPR
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UCL
4 - 1
GAR
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
UCL
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ZAF
0 - 0
SPR
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
ZAF
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ZAF
0 - 0
CDS
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ZAF
1 - 1
EMD
34%
24%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CPO
1 - 0
ZAF
34%
26%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |