UC La Estrella vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CPO
2 - 1
UCL
29%
25%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UCL
5 - 2
CAT
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
UCL
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 1
UCL
30%
24%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UCL
2 - 1
CDS
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 0
USA
33%
25%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GAR
0 - 1
SMA
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 3
UDF
11%
19%
71%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CPG
3 - 0
SMA
77%
14%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ZAF
1 - 1
SMA
78%
14%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |