UC La Estrella vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CPG
0 - 3
UCL
6%
11%
83%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UCL
3 - 2
USA
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CDN
0 - 7
UCL
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UCL
7 - 0
SPR
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 7
UCL
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
GIM
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAL
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 0
HER
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CPG
0 - 3
HER
43%
23%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |