UC La Estrella vs Puebla Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1989 |
CDB
1 - 5
UCL
55%
24%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
UCL
3 - 1
ORE
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
CVP
3 - 2
UCL
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
UCL
0 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
CPC
0 - 1
UCL
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1989 |
ADP
3 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
CPC
2 - 2
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
ADP
2 - 3
MER
30%
26%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
EXT
3 - 0
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
ADP
1 - 0
SNV
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |