UC Cartes vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 4
CAR
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 1
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 3
MDP
58%
22%
21%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
REV
1 - 3
CAR
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
NOJ
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RSC
3 - 0
MFC
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 3
RSC
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 1
ARE
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RSC
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RSC
2 - 3
SEL
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |