AlbinoLeffe vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
VNZ
0 - 2
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VIC
0 - 1
ABN
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 0
ABN
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 0
PRO
58%
22%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
ABN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 3
MOD
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 2
MOD
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |