AlbinoLeffe vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
ABN
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ABN
0 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 0
ABN
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
ABN
0 - 0
CAG
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 3
ABN
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MES
4 - 0
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TRE
1 - 2
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MES
3 - 0
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
VNZ
2 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |