AlbinoLeffe vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 1
ABN
50%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ABN
0 - 2
USC
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ABN
2 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABN
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 3
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CTT
4 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |