AlbinoLeffe vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASL
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 1
PAD
47%
30%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASL
40%
30%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
USC
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
TAR
1 - 1
ASL
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |