AlbinoLeffe vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TER
0 - 0
ABN
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ABN
0 - 1
RAV
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
ABN
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 1
ABN
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ABN
0 - 0
BV5
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FER
2 - 2
REG
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
TRI
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BV5
4 - 0
FER
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FER
4 - 2
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |