AlbinoLeffe vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
PIA
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 0
ABN
42%
24%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 0
SIE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 3
ABN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 3
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
CAS
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 2
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 2
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |