AlbinoLeffe vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
MON
0 - 0
ABN
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SIE
3 - 0
ABN
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
ABN
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 0
USC
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |