AlbinoLeffe vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PES
5 - 3
ABN
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 3
SAM
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 1
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 1
MOD
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
ABN
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EMP
2 - 4
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
PAD
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 4
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |