Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-3
Uberlândia vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
UBE
3 - 0
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
UBE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
UBE
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UBE
3 - 1
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 3
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAX
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 1
INT
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 2
CAX
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAX
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |