Uberaba SC vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberaba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 0
USC
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 1
USC
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
USC
5 - 0
DEM
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
USC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEM
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
89%
8%
2%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | +1 |