Lebrijana vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEB
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
LEB
1 - 1
ARC
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LEB
1 - 0
SRO
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
LEB
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
LEB
2 - 0
CEU
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
ECI
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
BET
1 - 1
CAS
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAB
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CDG
1 - 0
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |