Lebrijana vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ECI
0 - 1
LEB
58%
21%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEB
0 - 0
CDG
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
LEB
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEB
4 - 1
UDR
47%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 1
LEB
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SRO
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CEU
44%
26%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CRD
2 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |